Sticking with What (Barely) Worked
收藏NBER2011-10-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
下载链接：
https://www.nber.org/papers/w17477
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资源简介：
Outcome bias occurs when an evaluator considers ex-post outcomes when judging whether a choice was correct, ex-ante. We formalize this cognitive bias in a simple model of distorted Bayesian updating. We then examine strategy changes made by professional football coaches. We find they are more likely
提供机构：
美国国家经济研究局
创建时间：
2011-10-01
