Replication Data for: Natural Hazards, Social Policy, and Electoral Performance: Evidence from the 2017 Earthquake in Mexico City

These data files replicate the main findings of the paper \"Natural Hazards, Social Policy, and Electoral Performance: Evidence from the 2017 Earthquake in Mexico City\". The objective of this study is to analyze the political dimension of the 19-S earthquake that hit Mexico City in 2017, a few months prior to the 2018 elections. Using fine-grained geospatial data, our results show that candidates from the city-level incumbent PRD had a small increase in their vote share in 2018 compared to the previous election in precincts more exposed to the damaged caused by the earthquake (both in terms of distance-based and per capita measures), accounting for the seismic profile and socioeconomic characteristics of the neighborhood. We show that the implementation of disaster recovery policy explains part of this relationship; moreover, voters were as electorally responsive to a future risk-reduction strategy as to a reconstruction credit本数据集文件复现了论文"Natural Hazards, Social Policy, and Electoral Performance: Evidence from the 2017 Earthquake in Mexico City"（《自然灾害、社会政策与选举表现：来自墨西哥城2017年地震的实证证据》）的核心研究结论。本研究旨在剖析2017年袭击墨西哥城的19-S地震的政治维度，此次地震发生于2018年墨西哥大选数月之前。本研究采用精细化地理空间数据（fine-grained geospatial data）开展分析，结果显示：在控制街区地震特征与社会经济属性的前提下，相较于上一届选举，在受地震破坏程度更高的选区（采用基于距离和人均受灾的衡量指标），2018年市现任执政党民主革命党（PRD）候选人的得票率出现小幅上升。研究表明，灾后恢复政策的实施可部分解释这一关联；此外，选民在选举层面对未来风险削减策略的响应程度，与对重建信贷的响应程度相当。