Results of Monte Carlo simulations of bat populations using an initial population of 2,000 females, the demographic information derived from our study area in Boulder County, Colorado, and future climate projections derived from the NCAR-UCAR Community Climate System (CCSM4) and General Ensemble Model projections for our study area (Boulder models) and western North America (General models) through year 2086.

Mean, minimum, maximum, and standard deviation for final populations in year 2086 using 10,000 runs are shown for each scenario. Four emission trajectories were used (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0, RCP8.5), where the RCP2.6 scenario assumes the least change in emissions from historic levels and the RCP8.5 scenario assumes the largest change in carbon emissions.