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Managerial Overconfidence and Corporate Policies

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NBER2007-12-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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https://www.nber.org/papers/w13711
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Using a unique 10-year panel that includes more than 13,300 expected stock market return probability distributions, we find that executives are severely miscalibrated, producing distributions that are too narrow: realized market returns are within the executives 80% confidence intervals only 36% of
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2007-12-01
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