Trends in the weekly number of infected dogs (Exposed and Infectious) (Top table) and human deaths due to rabid bites (Bottom table) under vaccination and quarantine scenarios.
收藏Figshare2023-12-15 更新2026-04-28 收录
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All variables statistically significant with p R0 = 1.3 the expected number of canine rabies cases is 0.79 times the reference value (intercept) when Quarantine Scenario 2 is implemented as opposed to no quarantine, and 0.59 times the reference value when Quarantine Scenario 3 is implemented compared to no quarantine (i.e., reducing the expected mean of 55.87 to 44.58 and 33.13 for Scenarios 2 and 3 respectively). For the same value of R0, every unit increase in vaccination efforts (i.e., 1%) would change the expected mean of canine cases by 0.2%, giving to the expected mean of 25.23 infected dogs for 50% vaccination coverage. Whilst the impact of quarantine on human health is only indirect through the reduced number of rabid dogs circulating in the population and the weekly incident rates of the quarantine scenarios relatively low, on average three humans lives would be saved every month when either quarantine scenario is implemented assuming the same basic reproductive number as above.
创建时间:
2023-12-15



