Model results from the"Macro-ecology and biogeography: Hierarchical (Bayesian) model development using data from South Africa" working group

See http://www.nceas.ucsb.edu/public/bayesian. This is currently a bare-bones web site that contains results of the group's modeling of distributions of Proteaceae in the Cape Floristic Region of South Africa (CFR). Results are currently available for a subregion of the CFR that encompasses many of the areas of highest species richness for Proteaceae and plants generally. For details of the Bayesian models please see manuscripts referenced at co-PI John Silander's website at the University of Connecticut's Department of Ecology and Evolutionary biology (http://www.eeb.uconn.edu/faculty/silander/silander.htm). Model results currently available on this site include: 1) Maps of the environmental data layers, plus a document that describes how they were created (see folder "DataLayersApril03"). 2) Boxplots of the parameter estimates for the coefficients ("Betas") for each environmental variable for each species (see folder "ParametersApril03"). 3) Maps of the model predictions for 40 species of Proteaceae over a subregion of the CFR (see folder "PicturesApril03"). 4) A table summarizing the species attributes (e.g. dispersal mode, local population size) for all species (this folder, file "SpeciesAttribs.pdf"). Additional details are contained in the individual folders.请访问 http://www.nceas.ucsb.edu/public/bayesian。该网站目前为极简框架站点，收录了研究团队针对南非开普植物区（Cape Floristic Region，简称CFR）中山龙眼科（Proteaceae）物种分布的建模成果。当前仅开放CFR内某一子区域的相关结果，该区域涵盖了山龙眼科及多数植物类群物种丰富度最高的诸多区域。有关贝叶斯模型（Bayesian models）的详细细节，请参阅康涅狄格大学生态与进化生物学系联合首席研究员约翰·西兰德（John Silander）的个人主页（http://www.eeb.uconn.edu/faculty/silander/silander.htm）中引用的相关研究论文。 本网站目前提供的模型结果包括： 1. 环境数据图层地图，以及一份描述其构建流程的文档（详见"DataLayersApril03"文件夹）。 2. 各物种对应各环境变量的系数（"Betas"）参数估计箱线图（详见"ParametersApril03"文件夹）。 3. 针对CFR子区域内40种山龙眼科物种的模型预测分布图（详见"PicturesApril03"文件夹）。 4. 汇总所有物种属性（如扩散模式、局域种群大小等）的表格（本文件夹内的"SpeciesAttribs.pdf"文件）。 各子文件夹中还包含更多补充细节。