QTT - Five Yearly Projected Population (Medium Series) (SA2) 2011-2036
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https://researchdata.edu.au/qtt-five-yearly-2011-2036/2743110
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资源简介:
This dataset presents the 2013 Edition of the Queensland Government population projections (Medium Series). These projections represent usual resident populations only and exclude visitors and temporary residents.\n\nThese population projections have been prepared using the latest available information at the time of preparation. Complete accuracy of these projections should not be assumed. Variation above or below the figures provided is to be expected, because projections rely on the accuracy of the assumptions used, as well as the quality of data on which they are based. \n\nFor more information, please refer to the [Data Source](https://www.qgso.qld.gov.au/statistics/theme/population/population-projections/state).\n\nPlease note the following assumptions: \n\n * Queensland total fertility rate of 1.95 in 2011-2012, declining over a five year period to 1.90, then held constant thereafter.\n\n * Average of low and high series life expectancy at birth.\n\n * Net interstate migration of 15,000 persons per annum.\n\n * Net overseas migration for Australia increasing to 250,000 by 2016-2017, then remaining constant thereafter.\n\n * Queensland share increasing from 19.4% to 22.0% over the projection period.\n
本数据集收录昆士兰州政府2013版人口预测数据(中等预测序列)。本次预测仅统计常住居民人口,不含游客与临时居留人员。
本套人口预测基于编制时可获取的最新信息完成,不应认定其具备完全准确性。由于预测结果依赖于所采用假设的准确性及基础数据的质量,预测数值存在上下浮动属于正常现象。
如需获取更多详情,请参阅[数据来源](https://www.qgso.qld.gov.au/statistics/theme/population/population-projections/state)。
请注意以下预测假设:
* 昆士兰州2011-2012年总生育率为1.95,随后五年间逐步降至1.90,此后保持恒定。
* 采用出生时预期寿命的低、高序列平均值。
* 州际年净迁移规模为15000人。
* 澳大利亚海外净迁移规模将于2016-2017年升至250000人,此后保持恒定。
* 昆士兰州在预测期内所占份额从19.4%提升至22.0%。
提供机构:
Australian Urban Research Infrastructure Network (AURIN)



