Replication Data for: \"The Logic of Transitional Justice and State Repression: The Effects of Human Rights Prosecutions in Post-Conflict States\"

Human rights prosecutions addressing wartime crimes are often credited with deterring future rights abuses, but routinely occur alongside state repression. This article develops a theory of how such prosecutions generate uneven effects across domestic human rights practice by making some repression tactics costlier than others—in the public visibility of the abuse or ease of attribution to leadership—or by directly substituting certain tactics. We test the implications with a multivariate probit analysis of novel prosecution data in contemporary conflict and post-conflict settings. Trials significantly reduce reliance on political imprisonment and extrajudicial killings, relatively visible abuses, whereas gains for less visible physical integrity rights are limited. Further, trials themselves are sometimes deployed as a direct substitute for political imprisonment. The findings reveal how human rights prosecutions themselves can be part of a government’s repressive toolkit, with implications for the study of transitional justice and the judicialization of repression. Link to Journal of Conflict Resolution publication: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/00220027211066616针对战时罪行的人权起诉常被认为可起到遏制未来人权侵犯的作用，但这类起诉往往与国家镇压相伴相生。本文构建理论框架，阐释此类起诉如何通过两类路径对国内人权实践产生不均衡影响：一是提升部分镇压手段的实施成本——具体体现为侵权行为的公众可见性提升，或其归责于领导层的难度加大；二是直接替代部分镇压手段。我们依托当代冲突与冲突后情境下的新型起诉数据集，通过多元Probit分析对上述理论推论进行实证检验。研究结果显示，审判显著减少了政治监禁与法外处决这类相对显性的侵权手段的使用，但对可见度较低的人身完整权的保护增益较为有限。进一步分析表明，审判本身有时会被直接用作政治监禁的替代手段。本研究揭示，人权起诉本身亦可成为政府镇压工具库的组成部分，这对过渡正义研究与镇压的司法化议题均具有重要启示。本文刊载于《冲突解决期刊》（Journal of Conflict Resolution），原文链接：https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/00220027211066616