The Record and Improvability of Economic Forecasting
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Have macroeconomic forecasts grown more or less accurate over time? This paper assembles, examines, and interprets evidence bearing on this question. Contrary to some critics, there are no indications that U.S. forecasts have grown systematically worse, that is, less accurate, more biased, or both.
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美国国家经济研究局创建时间：
1986-12-01
