Replication Data for: Public Support for Green, Inclusive, and Resilient Growth Conditionality in International Monetary Fund Bailouts
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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has recently expanded its policy scope to include a broader set of policies to promote green, inclusive, and resilient growth. How does this expansion affect the support for the IMF and its loans among the populations of borrowing countries? We conducted a pre-registered survey experiment with 2,694 respondents from three borrower countries—Argentina, Kenya, and Pakistan. We show that support for IMF programs increases by approximately 24 percent compared to traditional programs when the IMF includes good governance, anti-poverty, climate change, and gender equality measures in its programs. Our results imply that people do not uniformly reject the imposition of policies of global governance institutions but have well-defined preferences over policy measures. Our findings contribute to debates on the backlash against international institutions by highlighting that citizens are willing to accept sovereignty intrusion when they push for policy goals aligned with their policy preferences.
国际货币基金组织(International Monetary Fund, IMF)近期拓展了其政策范畴,将更多旨在推动绿色、包容且韧性增长的政策纳入其中。这一政策范畴的扩张,会对借款国民众支持国际货币基金组织及其贷款项目的意愿产生何种影响?本研究针对阿根廷、肯尼亚与巴基斯坦三个借款国的2694名受访者开展了预先注册的调查实验。研究结果表明,当国际货币基金组织将善治、反贫困、气候变化应对及性别平等举措纳入其项目框架时,民众对IMF项目的支持率相较传统项目提升了约24%。本研究显示,民众并非一概拒绝全球治理机构的政策强加,而是对具体政策举措存在明确的偏好。本研究通过揭示民众在自身政策偏好与全球治理机构的政策目标相契合时,愿意接受主权干预,为有关国际机构反弹效应的学术辩论贡献了新的视角。



