Waiting List for Elective Surgeries: 10 Years of Demand Predictions per Specialty and Region in Chile

The dataset presented in this repository was created using de-identified historical surgical data (2012-2021) from 10 regional health services in Chile. To request access to the historical information, follow this link: https://www.portaltransparencia.cl/PortalPdT/ Data: The dataset below covers the future predicted surgical demand (2022-2031) obtained through 100 ARIMA models considering the following specialties in each of the ten regions: Cardiology, head and neck, ear nose and throat, plastic surgery, gastroenterology, gynecology and obstetrics, neurology and neurosurgery, ophthalmology, traumatology, and urology and nephrology. Furthermore, three different demand scenarios are provided per region, specialty, and year. The scenarios are low, medium, and high demand, considering a 95% prediction interval. The attached data table (8x1001) has the following structure: Column 1 presents a numerical regional health service ID. Column 2 presents a numerical specialty ID. Column 3 presents the year of prediction. Column 4 presents the predicted medium demand scenario. Column 5 presents the predicted low-demand scenario. Column 6 presents the predicted high-demand scenario. Column 7 presents the regional health service name. Column 8 presents the specialty name. Feel free to contact us if you have any questions about the dataset.本仓库所呈现的数据集，源自智利10个区域医疗服务机构2012-2021年的去标识化历史手术数据。若需获取该历史信息的访问权限，请访问以下链接：https://www.portaltransparencia.cl/PortalPdT/。 本次提供的数据集涵盖通过100个自回归积分滑动平均（ARIMA）模型预测得到的2022-2031年未来手术需求数据，覆盖智利10个区域的以下专科：心脏科、头颈外科、耳鼻喉科、整形外科、胃肠科、妇产科、神经内科与神经外科、眼科、创伤外科，以及泌尿外科与肾内科。此外，针对每个区域、专科及年份，均提供了三种不同的需求场景：低需求、中等需求与高需求，所有场景均基于95%的预测区间生成。 附带的数据表维度为8列×1001行，其结构如下：第1列为区域医疗服务机构的数字ID；第2列为专科数字ID；第3列为预测年份；第4列为中等需求场景的预测值；第5列为低需求场景的预测值；第6列为高需求场景的预测值；第7列为区域医疗服务机构名称；第8列为专科名称。 若您对本数据集有任何疑问，欢迎随时联系我们。