Number of days for Maximum Temperature under 10th percentile for Far Future (2080 - 2100)

Model Run: Far future (2080 - 2100) (Far future (2080 - 2100)). The Self-Organizing Map Downscaling (SOMD) was developed at the Climate Systems Analysis Group (CSAG)[1], University of Cape Town. This is a leading empirical downscaled technique and provides meteorological station level response to global climate change forcing (See Hewitson and Crane (2006) for methodological details and Wilby et al. (2004) for a review of this and other statistical downscaling methodologies). Downscaling of a General Circulation Model (GCM) is accomplished by deriving the normative local response from the atmospheric state on a given day, as defined from historical observed data. [1] http://www.csag.uct.ac.za/模式试验：远未来时段（2080-2100年）（远未来时段（2080-2100年））。自组织映射降尺度（Self-Organizing Map Downscaling, SOMD）由开普敦大学气候系统分析小组（Climate Systems Analysis Group, CSAG）[1]研发。该方法为当前主流的经验降尺度技术，可提供气象站点尺度下对全球气候变化强迫的响应结果（相关方法细节可参阅Hewitson与Crane（2006）的研究，该类及其他统计降尺度方法的综述可参考Wilby等人2004年的成果）。大气环流模式（General Circulation Model, GCM）的降尺度过程，通过从历史观测数据定义的当日大气状态中推导标准局地响应得以实现。[1] http://www.csag.uct.ac.za/