Sectoral Gross Value Added (GVA) for transport, storage and communication (SIC7) as a driver from 1995 to 2016

The South African Gross Geographic Value Added (GVA) data for each economic sector per year since 1995 to 2016 was supplied by Quantec to the CSIR built environment. This data was disaggregated to a 500m grid using a dasymetric mapping algorithm (https://gap.csir.co.za/gap/images/documents/developing-a-geo-data-frame-using-dasymetric-mapping-principles-to-facilitate-data-integration). A linear regression was then fitted to the GVA dataset and the Slope of the regression was used as an indicator for exposure, the R2 value was converted to a percentage to provide a measure of probability. An Average GVA value was calculated as was the sample standard deviation as a measure of economic uncertainty.