Replication Data for: Foreign Policy Preferences in Ukraine: Trade and Ethnolinguistic Identity

Individuals tend to favor important trade partners in their foreign policy preferences. Cultural affinity is also known to influence individuals’ foreign policy stances. This study examines how citizens prioritize international relations with trading partners in the face of ethnolinguistic divisions. Using survey data on foreign policy preferences paired with data on bilateral trade between Ukraine and its two largest trade partners (Russia and the European Union [EU]), I find that ethnolinguistic identity and relative trade exposure both affect foreign policy preferences and that these effects introduce cross-cutting cleavages. Ukrainian-speaking Ukrainians in regions where the economic importance of trade with Russia is relatively higher are more likely to favor foreign policy oriented toward Russia than Ukrainian speakers elsewhere. Similarly, Russian speakers in areas with high levels of trade with the EU have more EU-oriented foreign policy preferences.民众在外交政策偏好上往往会倾向于重要的贸易伙伴。既往研究表明，文化亲和力同样会影响个体的外交政策立场。本研究旨在探讨民众在面临民族语言分歧时，会如何优先考量与贸易伙伴的国际关系。本研究结合了外交政策偏好的调查数据，以及乌克兰与其两大贸易伙伴——俄罗斯与欧洲联盟（European Union，欧盟[EU]）——的双边贸易数据，研究发现：民族语言身份认同与相对贸易暴露水平均会影响民众的外交政策偏好，且二者的作用会形成交叉裂痕。相较于其他地区的乌克兰语使用者，在与俄罗斯的贸易经济重要性相对更高的地区，母语为乌克兰语的乌克兰民众更倾向于支持对俄导向的外交政策。同理，在与欧盟贸易往来密切的地区，俄语使用者的外交政策偏好更偏向欧盟。