Know what you don't know: Embracing state uncertainty in disease-structured multistate models

Weekly surveys for juvenile Fleay's barred frog (Mixophyes fleayi) were conducted over a 3.5-month period at Brindle Creek, Border Ranges National Park, New South Wales, Australia. There were two missing surveys (so with a biweekly interval instead of a weekly interval) which were padded with NAs in the capture history. Recaptured individuals were swabbed for Bd, DNA was extracted using Prepman Ultra, and DNA was amplified and quantified using qPCR and GeneBlocks synthetic gene fragments. See the README for more details on the data. Data were analysed with the novel multievent model and a traditional Arnason-Schwarz model (see manuscript and code) using NIMBLE 0.12.2 in R 4.2.1.