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Predictive Regressions: A Present-value Approach

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NBER2010-08-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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We propose a latent variables approach within a present-value model to estimate the expected returns and expected dividend growth rates of the aggregate stock market. This approach aggregates information contained in the history of price-dividend ratios and dividend growth rates to predict future

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2010-08-01
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