S1 Text. The MS-AR estimation results. for paper entitled “Several Explorations on How to Construct an Early Warning System for Local Government Debt Risk in China”.
Interview with Pierre Morin, conducted by Loipa Muniz Duarte on June 28th, 2022. This interview is part of the collection "Macroeconometric Modelling at the French Treasury", hosted by the Oral Histor
Abstract of associated article: The issue of model uncertainty is central to the empirical study of economic growth. Many recent papers use Bayesian Model Averaging to address model uncertainty, but (
This article proposes using state-dependent local projections (SDLP) to forecast the dynamically asymmetrical effects of political regimes or policy transitions. By conditioning on the ex ante status,
This document serves as proof of the successful completion of a comprehensive review conducted to aid in the examination of how knowledge flows contribute to the economic growth of nations. It encompa