Korneyev A. V., Kuchumova E. A. Data base “Forecast for major economic indicators for the USA, 1997–2010: functional approximation of analytic trends” / Ed. by V. I. Sokolov. – [2nd edition, revised and enlarged]. – Moscow : The Institute for the US and Canadian Studies of the Russian Academy of Sc

The database contains continuous chronological series of the main indicators of dynamics for the US economy in 1950-1996 and the results of a preliminary approximation of the corresponding analytical trends up to 2010. The database includes the values of GNP and GDP in the current and fixed prices, price deflators, shares of various industry groups in the structure of the domestic product, indicators of the dynamics for the total national income, values of exports and imports of goods, population data, indicators of general and sectoral employment and unemployment, basic indices of values for intermediate and final products in material production, the current volumes of capital investments, basic indices of production costs and consumer prices, as well as indicators of the national wealth of the United States. Particular attention was paid to inflation rates, the growth of military spending, the dynamics of public debt and such derived socio-economic indicators as the values of the total national product, income and wealth per capita. Due to some ongoing revisions to the US System of National Accounts (NIPA) introduced by the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the US Department of Commerce, all series have been updated to reflect the President's Economic Report of 1997. All the given series of indicators were verified with primary data sources and provided with reference linear charts of statistical trends. The basis for compiling the database was the official reference publications of the US federal departments, as well as statistical materials accumulated and processed in the Section of Economic Databases at the Institute for the USA and Canada of the Russian Academy of Sciences in 1985-1997.本数据库收录了1950年至1996年间美国经济动态核心指标的连续时序序列，以及截至2010年的对应分析趋势初步拟合结果。数据库涵盖现价与不变价计算的国民生产总值（GNP）、国内生产总值（GDP）数值，价格平减指数，各产业部门在国内产出结构中的占比，国民总收入动态指标，货物进出口额，人口统计数据，全域及分部门就业与失业指标，物质生产领域中间产品与最终产品价值基础指数，当期资本投资额，生产成本与居民消费价格基础指数，以及美国国民财富相关指标。本次数据集重点关注通货膨胀率、军费开支增长、公共债务动态，以及国民总产出、人均收入与人均财富等衍生社会经济指标。鉴于美国商务部经济分析局对美国国民账户体系（NIPA）开展的持续修订，本数据集所有时序序列均已更新以契合1997年《总统经济报告》的统计标准。所有提供的指标序列均已通过原始数据源完成核验，并附带统计趋势参考折线图。本数据库的编制依据为美国联邦政府部门的官方参考出版物，以及1985年至1997年间俄罗斯科学院美国与加拿大研究所经济数据库研究组积累并整理的统计资料。