Replication Data for: Football and Public Opinion: A Partial Replication and Extension

Do events irrelevant to politics, such as the weather and sporting events, affect political opinions? A growing experimental literature suggests that such events can matter. However, extant experimental evidence may over-state irrelevant event effects; this could occur if these studies happen to focus on particular scenarios where irrelevant event effects are likely to occur. One way to address this possibility is through replication, which is what we do. Specifically, we replicate an experimental study that showed the outcome of a college football game can influence presidential approval. Our results partially replicate the previous study and suggest the impact is constrained to a limited set of outcome variables. The findings accentuate the need for scholars to identify the conditions under which irrelevant effects occur. While the effects clearly can occur, there relevance to politics remains unclear.与政治无关的事件（如天气、体育赛事等）是否会对政治观点产生影响？日益增多的实验研究文献表明，此类事件确有可能产生影响。然而，现有实验证据或存在夸大无关事件影响效应的问题：若相关研究恰好聚焦于更易出现无关事件影响效应的特定场景，则可能导致该偏差。解决这一潜在局限的途径之一是开展重复验证实验，这正是本研究的工作内容。具体而言，我们复现了一项曾证实大学橄榄球赛事结果可影响总统支持率的实验研究。本研究结果仅部分复现了此前的研究结论，并提示该影响仅局限于有限的结果变量范畴内。本研究结果凸显了学者们有必要厘清无关事件效应产生的具体条件。尽管此类影响确有发生的可能，但其与政治的相关性仍不明确。