NextGenerationEU: forecasted additional GDP growth for member states in 2026

The impact on European Union member states' GDP growth from the NextGenerationEU economic stimulus is set to diverge between the different states. States which will receive a relatively large package when compared with their GDP, such as Greece, Bulgaria, and Croatia, will experience large increases in GDP growth, mostly caused by the direct effects of the stimulus. On the other hand, countries such as Sweden, Denmark, and Ireland, who will receive a relatively small amount of funds compared to their overall GDP, will experience only small increases in GDP growth of less than 0.5 percent. For these countries which will receive smaller packages, the majority of their additional growth will be as a result of spillovers from other countries' investments.

次世代欧盟经济刺激计划对欧盟成员国国内生产总值增长的影响预计将在不同成员国之间呈现差异。相较于其国内生产总值，将获得较大经济刺激包的国家，如希腊、保加利亚和克罗地亚，将经历国内生产总值增长的显著提升，这主要归因于刺激计划的直接影响。另一方面，瑞典、丹麦和爱尔兰等国家，相较于其整体国内生产总值，所获得的经济刺激资金相对较少，其国内生产总值增长将仅呈现微小的提升，增幅不足0.5%。对于这些将获得较小经济刺激包的国家，其额外的增长主要源于其他国家投资的溢出效应。