Projecting the Future Budgetary Cost of AIDS Treatment in Poor Countries: A Manual for the AIDSCost Computer Programs

Every year, UNAIDS releases updated estimates of the number of people living with HIV and AIDS and the mortality impact of the epidemic, while WHO releases data on the number of people on treatment and the number needing treatment. This dataset, from CGD senior fellow Mead Over and Owen McCarthy, is a compilation of selected variables from these published sources as well as from the World Bank Development Indicators and the International Monetary Fund’s estimates of economic quantities such as Gross Domestic Product and central government health expenditures. The data are in the format developed by the Stata statistical software corporation and are intended for use with the AIDSCost package for the purpose of projecting the future budgetary cost of scaling up AIDS treatment. Instructions on how to download, access, and use the AIDSCost package are included in the users' manual. The authors encourage comments on their blog or as an e-mail to them, which will be considered for posting. (CGD’s HIV/AIDS Monitor Initiative provides access to data on past AIDS funding PEPFAR, the World Bank and the Global Fund.)每年，联合国艾滋病规划署（UNAIDS）都会发布艾滋病病毒（HIV）感染者及艾滋病患者人数的最新估算数据，以及该疫情造成的死亡影响；而世界卫生组织（WHO）则会发布接受治疗的感染者/患者人数与需接受治疗的人数相关数据。本数据集由全球发展中心（Center for Global Development，CGD）高级研究员米德·奥弗（Mead Over）与欧文·麦卡锡（Owen McCarthy）编制，整合了上述公开来源，以及世界银行发展指标（World Bank Development Indicators）、国际货币基金组织（International Monetary Fund）对经济指标（如国内生产总值（GDP）与中央政府卫生支出）的估算数据中的选定变量。该数据集采用Stata统计软件公司（Stata Statistical Software Corporation）制定的格式，旨在配合AIDSCost工具包使用，用于预测扩大艾滋病治疗覆盖规模所需的未来预算成本。用户手册中包含了AIDSCost工具包的下载、获取与使用说明。作者欢迎读者通过其博客或邮件提交评论，相关评论将考虑予以发布。（全球发展中心艾滋病监测倡议（CGD’s HIV/AIDS Monitor Initiative）可提供美国总统艾滋病救济紧急计划（PEPFAR）、世界银行及全球基金的过往艾滋病资助数据。）