Parameter estimates from ARIMA models of monthly precipitation, and average daily maximum and minimum temperature.

MA(1) is the estimated moving average term at a 1- period lags (1 month) and AR(1) and AR(2) are the estimated autoregressive term at a 1- and 2-period lags (1 and 2 months, respectively). Lagged values of independent variables are denoted similarly. El Niño is an indicator for El Niño phases and La Niña is an indicator for the La Niña phase, determined by the ONI index.Parameter estimates from ARIMA models of monthly precipitation, and average daily maximum and minimum temperature.