Characteristics (median, IQ range) of 1000 simulated outbreaks (based on a SIR model with R0 of 5 and daily mortality rate of 0.03).

† The spread of the outbreak was simulated during a maximum of 12 weeks or until it reached ≥15,000 deaths.* Proportion of simulated deaths, infected herds and hexagons were respectively calculated using the total number of deaths (real+simulated) that occurred during the course of the outbreak, and the total number of herds and hexagons under surveillance over this period.Characteristics (median, IQ range) of 1000 simulated outbreaks (based on a SIR model with R0 of 5 and daily mortality rate of 0.03).