Just Stop Oil November 2022 Polling - Radical Flank Effect

Our hypothesis:
The presence of a radical (versus moderate) flank will lead to a) more identification with and b) greater support for the moderate group.

In this instance, the radical group being studied is Just Stop Oil and the moderate group will be Friends of the Earth.

We conducted a nationally representative survey, through YouGov, before and after a large direct action campaign by Just Stop Oil. The specific campaign by Just Stop Oil involved a week of blockading the M25 motorway that surrounds London. The campaign ran from Monday 7th November to Friday 11th November. Our survey was conducted longitudinally, such that the same participants were contacted before and after the campaign. Our first survey on Friday 4th November had 1741 respondents, whilst our second, starting on Monday 14th and concluding on Monday 21st, had 1415 respondents. This equates to an overall retention rate of 81.3%.

See more in our registration document attached below

本研究的假设如下：激进（相较于温和）阵营的存在将导致a) 对温和派的认同度更高，以及b) 对温和派的支援力度更大。

在本例中，研究之激进群体为“立即停止石油”组织，而温和派则为“地球之友”组织。

我们通过有YouGov公司执行的全国性调查，在“立即停止石油”组织发起的大型直接行动活动前后进行数据收集。具体行动为一周内封锁环绕伦敦的M25高速公路。活动自11月7日星期一开始，至11月11日星期五结束。我们的调查采用纵向研究方法，即对同一参与者进行活动前后的接触。我们于11月4日星期五进行的首次调查共有1741名受访者，而第二阶段的调查于11月14日开始，至11月21日结束，共有1415名受访者参与。这相当于总体保留率为81.3%。

更多详情请参阅随附的注册文件。