Surface Water Flood Maps (FRM_FH_SURFACE_WATER_VELOCITY_M)

The following probabilities are available for surface water flooding: - High - 10 year return period - Medium - 200 year return period - Low - 200 year return period plus climate change using the UKCP09 high emissions scenario for the 2080s.The surface water hazard maps show (where available): - Flood extent - Flood depth - Flood velocities where appropriate. Velocity is presented, where appropriate; this is determined by considering the confidence in input data, modelling method and impact. It is currently represented as one of four bandsThe climate change scenario has been defined by United Kingdom Climate Projection 2009 (UKCP09) predictions for 2080 high emissions 95%ile predictions. Medium and low probability flood events were selected for consistency with return periods used in Scottish Planning Policy, whereas the high probability was chosen as it is reflective of observed events experienced over the last few decades.针对地表洪水灾害，现提供以下概率分级情景： - 高概率：10年一遇重现期 - 中概率：200年一遇重现期 - 低概率：2080年代采用英国气候预估2009（UKCP09）高排放情景下的200年一遇叠加气候变化影响的情景 地表洪水灾害风险图（如可获取）将展示以下内容： - 洪水淹没范围 - 洪水水深 - 适宜场景下的洪水流速。流速仅在适宜场景下予以展示，其展示与否需综合考量输入数据可信度、建模方法及影响效应，当前流速被划分为四个等级进行呈现。 本次采用的气候变化情景基于英国气候预估2009（UKCP09）针对2080年高排放情景下95%分位数的预测结果设定。本次选取中、低概率洪水情景，是为与苏格兰规划政策中采用的重现期标准保持一致；而高概率情景的选取则基于近数十年间已观测到的实际洪水事件。