Coastal Flood Maps (FRM_FH_COASTAL_DEPTH_H)
收藏资源简介:
The following probabilities are available for coastal flooding: - High - 10 year return period - Medium - 200 year return period - Low - 1000 year return period and 200 year return period plus climate change using the UKCP09 high emissions scenario for the 2080s.The coastal hazard maps show (where available): - Flood extent - Flood depth's where appropriate. The climate change scenario has been defined by United Kingdom Climate Projection 2009 (UKCP09) predictions for 2080 high emissions 95%ile predictions. Medium and low probability flood events were selected for consistency with return periods used in Scottish Planning Policy, whereas the high probability was chosen as it is reflective of observed events experienced over the last few decades
本次可获取的海岸洪水概率等级如下: - 高概率:10年重现期 - 中概率:200年重现期 - 低概率:1000年重现期,以及采用英国2009年国家气候预测(UKCP09)2080年代高排放情景下气候变化影响后的200年重现期事件 海岸灾害风险图将展示(如可获取): - 淹没范围 - 适宜场景下的淹没水深 本次研究采用的气候变化情景,基于英国2009年国家气候预测(UKCP09)针对2080年高排放情景的95%分位数预测结果。中、低概率洪水事件的选取遵循苏格兰规划政策中所采用的重现期标准,而高概率事件的选取则贴合近数十年来观测到的实际洪水灾情。



