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Why You Should Never Use the Hodrick-Prescott Filter

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NBER2017-05-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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Here's why. (1) The HP filter produces series with spurious dynamic relations that have no basis in the underlying data-generating process. (2) Filtered values at the end of the sample are very different from those in the middle, and are also characterized by spurious dynamics. (3) A statistical

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2017-05-01
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