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Information Treatments, Hypotheticals, and Event Studies: Comparative Estimates

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NBER2026-04-01 更新2026-04-25 收录
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We study how consumer expectations respond to monetary policy announcements using a two-wave survey experiment around the September 2025 FOMC meeting. We compare three commonly used approaches to identifying causal effects on expectations: hypothetical ("vignette) scenarios, randomized control

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2026-04-01
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