Macroeconomic Indicators 2013-14

DTF forecasts a number of macroeconomic aggregates for inclusion in the budget\npapers. \n \nThese forecasts have three main purposes:\n\n * they provide a framework for presenting the economic context in which the budget is developed; \n * most of the economic aggregates or their sub-components are used in the modelling of taxation and other revenue lines; and \n * forecasts of nominal gross state product (GSP) are used to express key financial aggregates in relation to the size of the economy, such as non-financial public sector net debt to nominal GSP.\n\nThe spreadsheet below contains the seven published aggregates for the budget\npapers (Budget and Budget Update): \n \n\n * real GSP growth; \n * level of nominal GSP; \n * employment growth; \n * unemployment rate; \n * growth in the consumer price index; \n * growth in the wage price index; and \n * annual population growth.\n\n

DTF 可针对多项宏观经济总量开展预测，以供预算文件编制采用。

此类预测主要具备三大核心用途：
* 为呈现预算编制所处的经济环境提供系统性分析框架；
* 多数经济总量或其子分项可用于税收及其他收入项目的建模分析；
* 名义州内生产总值（Gross State Product, GSP）的预测值，可用于计算各类关键金融总量相对于经济规模的占比，例如非金融公共部门净债务占名义州内生产总值的比例。

下文的电子表格涵盖了预算文件（含年度预算与预算更新报告）所采用的七项已发布宏观经济总量，具体包括：
* 实际州内生产总值增速；
* 名义州内生产总值规模；
* 就业增速；
* 失业率；
* 消费者价格指数（Consumer Price Index, CPI）涨幅；
* 工资价格指数（Wage Price Index, WPI）涨幅；
* 年度人口增速。