Clinical Attack rates and peak day, by combination of control measures.

Moderate scenario (R0 = 1.7). VE = 70%; vaccination target categories: personnel providing essential services, elderly persons, indidividuals 2–18 years of age, unless otherwise specified. AVP = antiviral prophylaxis; *Different vaccine effectiveness for different categories: 59% in individuals 2–18 years of age [16], 70% in individuals 40–64 years of age [15], and 40% in ≥65 year-olds [17]; °Unlimited, household contacts; †Vaccine effectiveness = 50%; **air travel restrictions for 2 months after the first national case