A Novel Analysis of Economic Development versus CO2 Emissions for Empirical Proof of the Kuznets Curve and Insight into Future Trends

This experiment utilized existing data on per capita GNI (USD) and CO2 emissions (metric tons) in 215 countries, from 2009, data on per capita GNI (USD) and CO2 emissions (metric tons) in 215 countries from 2014, and data on per capita CO2 emissions and CO2 emissions from the following industries: electricity & heat, manufacturing & construction, residential, transport, and other (as % of total fuel combustion) in 215 countries from 2009. Per capita GNI for 215 countries were obtained from the World Bank “GNI per capita, Atlas Method (current US$)” data bank in 2009 and 2014. Per capita CO2 emissions for 215 countries were obtained from the World Bank “CO2 emissions (metric tons per capita)” data bank in 2009 and 2014. CO2 emissions (as % of total fuel combustion) from the electricity & heat industry for 215 countries in 2009 were obtained from the World Bank “CO2 emissions from electricity and heat production, total (as % of total fuel combustion)”. CO2 emissions (% of total fuel combustion) from the transport industry for 215 countries in 2009 were obtained from the World Bank “CO2 emissions from transport (% of total fuel combustion)”. CO2 emissions (% of total fuel combustion) from the residential industry for 215 countries in 2009 were obtained from the World Bank “CO2 emissions from residential buildings and commercial and public services (% of total fuel combustion)”. CO2 emissions (% of total fuel combustion) from the manufacturing & construction industry for 215 countries in 2009 were obtained from the World Bank “CO2 emissions from manufacturing industries and construction (% of total fuel combustion). CO2 emissions (% of total fuel combustion) from all other industries for 215 countries in 2009 were obtained from the World Bank “CO2 emissions from other sectors, excluding residential buildings and commercial and public services (% of total fuel combustion)”.

本实验采用了2009年及2014年共215个国家的人均国民总收入（GNI，美元计价）与人均二氧化碳排放量（公吨）数据，同时纳入2009年215个国家的人均二氧化碳排放量，以及分行业二氧化碳排放量（占燃料总燃烧量百分比）数据，涉及行业包括电力与热力生产、制造业与建筑业、居民生活、交通运输业及其他行业。2009年与2014年的215个国家人均GNI数据取自世界银行"GNI per capita, Atlas Method (current US$)"数据库；同期的人均二氧化碳排放量数据取自世界银行"CO2 emissions (metric tons per capita)"数据库。2009年215个国家的分行业二氧化碳排放量（占燃料总燃烧量百分比）数据分别来自世界银行以下数据库：电力与热力生产行业对应"CO2 emissions from electricity and heat production, total (as % of total fuel combustion)"；交通运输业对应"CO2 emissions from transport (% of total fuel combustion)"；居民生活及商业和公共服务业对应"CO2 emissions from residential buildings and commercial and public services (% of total fuel combustion)"；制造业与建筑业对应"CO2 emissions from manufacturing industries and construction (% of total fuel combustion)"；其余行业对应"CO2 emissions from other sectors, excluding residential buildings and commercial and public services (% of total fuel combustion)"。