Population at risk from LF in endemic countries in Africa estimated applying two different threshold values based on different levels of acceptable omission error, E, to the final Maxent model A predictions.

2010 populations at risk are calculated by projecting the derived Maxent model against 2000 climate data (but using 2010 population data (see text)) while the 2050 populations at risk are derived using the predicted 2050 environmental/population density data. All figures are expressed in 000’s. Also given are the UN predicted increases in population, shown in terms of the factor s by which national populations are expected to increase.