The Transformation of Hydrologic Science

There has been much written about the need for a new paradigm in hydrology. This paper suggests that the new paradigm has been staring us in the face for the past 50 years, and it is really just a matter of recognizing it. It is the paradigm of quantification, and its combination with an adherence to the scientific method. Keywords: hydrology, paradigm, quantification, science, hydrologic research model, water cycle, weather, climate change, hydrologic modeling, statistical analysis, progress in science.学界已就水文学（hydrology）领域亟需新范式（paradigm）一事展开了大量论述。本文指出，近50年来，这一新范式实则早已昭然若揭，只不过亟待我们予以识别与接纳。该范式即为量化研究范式，其核心在于将量化方法与科学方法的严谨恪守相结合。 关键词：水文学、范式、量化、科学、水文研究模型（hydrologic research model）、水循环、气象、气候变化、水文模拟（hydrologic modeling）、统计分析、科学进展。