Replication Data for \"The Syrian Conflict and Public Opinion Among Syrians in Lebanon\"

Who do ordinary Syrians support in their civil war? After decades of repression, the Syrian uprising unleashed an outpouring of political expression. Yet the study of Syrian public opinion is in its infancy. This paper presents survey evidence from a large, diverse sample of Syrian refugees in neighboring Lebanon, one of the first of its kind, and examines their support for the different factions fighting in the civil war. In so doing, it demonstrates that many conventional narratives of the conflict are oversimplifications of a more complex reality. The survey shows that the majority of Syrian refugees support one faction or another of the opposition, but a large minority sympathizes with the government. In line with existing accounts of the war, the government draws its popular support base from wealthier and less religious Syrians, as well as minorities. Nonetheless, large numbers of Sunni Arabs also side with the government, belying sectarian narratives of the war. The survey also finds that supporters of the opposition Islamists and non-Islamists are similar in many regards, including religiosity. The main distinction is that the non-Islamist support base is far more politically attentive than are Islamist sympathizers, in contrast to existing narratives of the war.普通叙利亚民众在内战中支持哪一方？在历经数十年镇压后，叙利亚起义催生了大规模的政治表达浪潮，但针对叙利亚公众舆论的研究尚处于起步阶段。本研究呈现了针对邻国黎巴嫩境内叙利亚难民的大样本、多样化抽样调查结果，该调查属于同类研究中的首批之一，并考察了这些难民对内战中各交战派系的支持倾向。通过上述分析，本研究表明，诸多关于这场冲突的主流叙事，实则是对更为复杂的现实的过度简化。调查结果显示，多数叙利亚难民支持反对派的某一派系，但仍有可观的少数群体同情叙利亚政府。与现有战争叙事相符的是，叙利亚政府的民众支持基础来自较为富裕、宗教虔诚度较低的叙利亚民众以及少数族裔群体。尽管如此，仍有大量逊尼派阿拉伯民众也支持政府，这与将内战归因于教派对立的叙事相悖。本次调查还发现，反对派伊斯兰主义者与非伊斯兰主义者的支持者在诸多方面具有相似性，包括宗教虔诚度；二者的主要区别在于，与现有战争叙事相悖的是，非伊斯兰主义者的支持群体在政治关注度上远高于伊斯兰主义同情者。