Long-term synthetic weather data, groundwater recharge and a thermo-hydraulic groundwater model for Berlin-Brandenburg (1955-2100)

The presented dataset forms the basis for investigating present and future coupled effects of rising surface temperatures and temporal trends in groundwater recharge on subsurface pressure and temperature (PT) conditions in the North German Basin beneath the Federal States of Brandenburg and Berlin (NE Germany), for the period 1955-2100.
The study relies on a stochastic weather generator, a distributed hydrologic model, and a 3D thermo-hydraulic groundwater model to evaluate spatio-temporal subsurface feedback to two shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP) for seven general circulation models (GCM).
The results demonstrate a regional variability in both the intensity and maximum depths of projected groundwater warming, driven by hydraulic gradients and the underlying geological structure. The magnitude of groundwater warming primarily depends on the surface temperature scenario. Projected changes in recharge are not sufficient to reverse this trend, although recharge is still a key factor controlling groundwater dynamics within aquifers lying above the Rupelian Clay aquitard.
The dataset can be further utilized for assessing shallow geothermal potential and groundwater storage availability in the Berlin-Brandenburg region under climate change.