The proposed model has better out-of-sample predictive performance than the alternative models.
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Mean-squared-error (MSE) for the model proposed in this manuscript (proposed model), the phenomenological state-space model (AR-1), and the mechanistic SIS disease dynamics model (SIS). Data were randomly partitioned into 10 sets and cross-validation results are shown separately for each one of these sets.
创建时间：
2015-12-02
