Made in China 2025 and carbon emission performance

(1) The "Made in China 2025" policy significantly improves urban carbon emission performance, a conclusion robust to multiple tests; (2) Mechanism analysis highlights three pathways: promoting green technology innovation, rationalizing industrial structures, and curbing energy consumption; (3) Heterogeneity analysis indicates stronger policy effects in eastern/central regions, central cities, and environmental priority protection zones. This research enriches the literature on industrial policy innovation and carbon emission governance, offering actionable insights for synergizing emission reduction and economic development in China.

(1) “中国制造2025”政策可显著提升城市碳排放绩效，该结论经多重稳健性检验后依然成立；(2) 机制分析揭示了三条作用路径：推动绿色技术创新、优化产业结构与抑制能源消费；(3) 异质性分析表明，该政策在东中部地区、中心城市以及环境优先保护区域的政策效应更为显著。本研究丰富了产业政策创新与碳排放治理领域的研究文献，可为中国协同推进减排与经济发展提供具有实践指导价值的启示。