Corresponding SST (°C), North Atlantic Oscillation in a previous year (NAOpy), and corresponding Arctic Oscillation in a previous year (AOpy) as well as probability from logistic regression estimated for the combine model.

We order the data according to their probability (low to high) to have a year with a SST annual greater than average SST of the study period (SST mean study period = 18.715). Furthermore, in the SSTbinary column we show the year that they had a SST annual greater than the average SST of the study period.