Impacts of climate change on tsetse (Diptera: Glossinidae): water balance physiology and mechanistic modelling

Climate change will alter both temperature and moisture availability in the future and therefore will likely affect vector borne disease prevalence. Organisms faced with changes in weather can respond in a variety of ways and this complicates any predictions and inferences for these organisms with climate change. Cause-and-effect links between climate change, insect vector responses, and changes in risk of disease transmission are poorly established for most vector borne diseases. Tsetse (Diptera, Glossinidae) are important vectors of trypanosome parasites posing a major threat to human health and socio-economic welfare in Africa. Water balance plays an important role in determining activity patterns, energy budgets, survival and population dynamics and, hence, geographic distribution and abundance of insects. Glossina species occupy a wide range of habitats in Africa and are notable for their desiccation resistance in xeric environments. Yet, whether or not the different species, subgroups or ecotype groups differ in susceptibility to changes in weather remain undetermined.