Replication data for: Decomposing the Relationship Between Contiguity and Militarized Conflict

It is well known that the majority of militarized conflicts and wars have been fought by neighbors. Yet, much remains to be learned about the relationship between shared borders and militarized conflict. This paper decomposes the effects of territorial contiguity into ex ante "observable" and "behavioral" effects. It provides powerful empirical evidence for the claim that although neighbors are more likely to experience conflict because of ex ante differences in observable variables such as economic interdependence, alliance membership, joint democracy, and the balance of military capabilities, most conflicts between neighbors occur because of differences in how neighbors and nonneighbors respond to the observable variables.

众所周知，绝大多数军事化冲突与战争均发生于邻国之间。然而，学界对于共同边界与军事化冲突之间的关联仍有诸多待探索之处。本文将领土接壤的影响拆解为事前「可观测」与「行为」两类效应。尽管由于经济相互依赖、同盟成员身份、联合民主以及军事力量均势等事前可观测变量的差异，邻国更易爆发冲突，但本文通过极具说服力的实证证据证实，邻国间的多数冲突实则源于邻国与非邻国对这些可观测变量的响应模式存在差异。