AWESOME Demographic and Socio-economic Scenarios

In this record, scenarios for population and economic drivers are provided, expected to impact the agricultural sector for countries in the Mediterranean and adjacent regions relevant for the AWESOME models according to the Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSP) guidelines for the horizon 2020-2100. These scenarios were designed, modelled and generated during the the first deliverable of AWESOME WP2, named D2.1 - Demographic Scenarios.

Population scenarios are based on a probabilistic approach employing the Bayesian hierarchical population model proposed by Raftery et al., appropriately modified to fit within the SSP scenarios, while the economic drivers scenarios are provided in terms of the global macroeconomic MaGE model. Information concerning the methodology adopted for the scenario generation, the nature and format of the produced data as well as a small but representative sample of the produced projections are presented in the relevant report.

This record contains:

- The deliverable's report where the model considerations for generating both population (probabilistic) and economic scenarios under the SSP setting are presented.

- The propabilistic scenarios output for population under the SSP framework for the aggregate Mediterannean region and at national level for each country in the region (rda files in the compresed folders) (the country list is contained in the report).

- The generated economic drivers scenarios output under the SSP framework for the aggregate Mediterannean region and at national level for each country in the region (xls file).

- Description of the data (txt file)