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NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough

FRED2024-06-08 收录

宏观经济周期监测

经济衰退预测

数据链接：

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USREC 数据链接链接失效反馈

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资源简介：

NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough

应用场景：

经济衰退预测

失业率分析

**Overview** This release contains information on the Sahm Recession Indicator which signals the beginning of a recession based on the three-month moving average of the national unemployment rate (U3

Databricks1100

The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting U.S. Recessions: A Mixed-frequency Markov-switching Vector Autoregressive Approach

经济衰退预测

不确定性分析

This paper analyzes the performance of the monthly economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index in predicting recessionary regimes of the (quarterly) U.S. GDP. In this regard, the authors apply a mixed-fre

NIAID Data Ecosystem70

Do Foreign Yield Curves Predict U.S. Recessions and GDP Growth?

经济衰退预测

金融市场联动

This paper shows that foreign term spreads constructed from bond yields of non- U.S. G-7 constituents predict future U.S. recessions and that foreign term spreads are stronger predictors of U.S. reces

NBER2022-12-01 更新40

OECD based Recession Indicators for Countries 基于经合组织的国家经济衰退指标

宏观经济

经济衰退预测

这是由联邦储备经济数据库（FRED）托管的圣路易斯联邦储备银行的数据集，用于探索经合组织的国家经济衰退指标。

阿里云天池2026-07-13 更新300

What Ends Recessions?

货币政策分析

经济衰退预测

This paper analyzes the contributions of monetary and fiscal policy to postwar economic recoveries. We find that the Federal Reserve typically responds to downturns with prompt and large reductions in

NBER1994-06-01 更新70

NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough

资源简介：

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