Comparison of health and climate damages between diesel trucks and electric trucks
收藏doi.org2025-03-24 收录
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The data show estimates of health and climate damages between diesel trucks and electric trucks. Data supports Figure 1 of the article on Joule, titled "Mostly positive implications of long-haul truck electrification" (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2021.10.009), by Zhenhong Lin. Results are based on the static AEG-based (average electricity generation) results of Tong et al. (https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acs.est.1c01273), with the dynamics adjustment that uses a simple weighting average between two static estimates to reflect the transition of vehicle and grid technologies and without discounting. The results suggest:
The results on Figure 1 suggest the following.
1) The health and climate benefits of 100% long-haul truck electrification are almost certainly positive.
2) The net positive benefits become greater with better battery technologies and greater renewable electricity share (from scenario 1 to others).
3) The benefits of truck electrification are more sensitive to battery technology improvement with a future business-as-usual grid mix (scenario 2 vs 1) than a future high-renewable mix (scenario 4 vs 3).
4) Accelerating the deployment of renewable electricity (i.e., grid decarbonization) can significantly reduce the health and climate damages of long-haul electric trucks (from scenario 4 to 5 to 6).
该数据集展示了柴油卡车与电动卡车在健康与气候损害方面的估算值。数据支持了发表在《Joule》杂志上,题为《长途卡车电动化的主要积极影响》的文章(https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2021.10.009),作者为林振宏。研究结果基于Tong等人基于静态AEG(平均电力生成)方法的结果(https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acs.est.1c01273),并进行了动态调整,通过简单加权平均两种静态估算值来反映车辆和电网技术的过渡,且未进行折现。结果显示:
图1的结果表明以下观点。
1) 100%长途卡车电动化在健康与气候方面的益处几乎可以确定是积极的。
2) 随着电池技术的提升和可再生能源份额的增加(从情景1至其他情景),净积极效益将更加显著。
3) 与未来高可再生能源混合电网(情景4与情景3相比)相比,卡车电动化的益处对电池技术改进的敏感性更高,在维持现状的电网混合(情景2与情景1相比)中也是如此。
4) 加快可再生能源(即电网脱碳)的部署,可以显著降低长途电动卡车的健康与气候损害(从情景4至情景5至情景6)。
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