Replication Data for: Inclusive institutions and stability of transition toward democracy in post-civil war states

This article attempts to bring together research on democratization and democratic consolidation with research on civil war termination. The post-civil war environment is contentious and the transition toward democracy achieved after a civil war is susceptible to failure. The side that wins the democratic elections in a post-war state may use its democratically won power to dismantle the institutions of democracy and repress the opposition. The fear of constant marginalization in the political processes as well as the fear of being repressed might create incentives for the defeated party to return to civil war. By utilizing the expected utility framework, this article suggests that former rivals would support democratic transition if they were confident that inclusive institutions ensured that they could achieve their political interests through the democratic processes. After analysing the data on post-civil war transitions toward democracy (TTD) from 1946–2005, I found that the proportional representation system and the parliamentary system are the most important institutions that help sustain the post-civil war TTD.

本文尝试整合民主化、民主巩固领域的研究，与内战终止领域的相关研究。内战结束后的政治环境往往充满争议，且内战结束后实现的民主转型极易遭遇失败。战后国家中赢得民主选举的一方，可能会借助其经由民主程序获取的执政权力，拆解民主制度并压制反对阵营。因在政治进程中持续被边缘化而生的恐惧，以及遭受压制的担忧，可能会促使战败方重启内战。本文借助期望效用框架（expected utility framework）提出，若昔日敌对双方确信包容性制度能够保障其通过民主程序实现自身政治利益，则二者会支持民主转型。本文对1946年至2005年间的内战结束后民主转型（Transition Toward Democracy，简称TTD）相关数据进行分析后发现，比例代表制与议会制是助力维持战后民主转型（TTD）成果的核心制度。