FaIR v1.6.2 calibrated and constrained parameter set
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These .json files provides the 2237 ensemble members that are used to run the FaIR simple climate model in the IPCC's Sixth Assessment Report contributions to Working Group 1 and Working Group 3. v1.1 of this dataset includes two versions of the files: the original full parameter set `fair-1.6.2-wg3-params.json` as in v1.0 reduced file size versions `fair-1.6.2-wg3-params-slim.json` and `fair-1.6.2-wg3-params-common.json` where only the parameters that vary between ensemble members are included in the former and everything else is in the latter. This is optimised for running the Working Group 3 climate assessment. Drawn from an initial prior ensemble of 1 million, the following constraints are placed upon the results: representation of observed warming from 1850-2019, within observational uncertainty representation of observed ocean heat content change 1971-2018, within observational uncertainty reproduction of near-present day atmospheric concentrations of CO2 from the carbon cycle airborne fraction of CO2 with a distribution similar to the assessed range of Chapter 5, IPCC Working Group 1 AR6 equilibrium climate sensitivity with a similar distribution to Chapter 7, IPCC Working Group 1, AR6 transient climate response with a similar distribution to Chapter 7, IPCC Working Group 1, AR6 projected future warming that is of a similar distribution to the SSP scenarios of Chapter 4, IPCC Working Group 1, AR6, when run with prescribed concentrations <strong>Changelog</strong> v1.1: inclusion of lightweight parameter sets. v1.0: original upload full parameter sets.
本数据集包含2237个集合成员样本,用于运行政府间气候变化专门委员会(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change,IPCC)第六次评估报告(Sixth Assessment Report,AR6)第一工作组与第三工作组相关章节所采用的FaIR简单气候模型(FaIR Simple Climate Model)。本数据集v1.1版本包含两类文件:其一为v1.0版本中留存的完整参数集文件`fair-1.6.2-wg3-params.json`;其二为压缩文件体积的两个衍生文件`fair-1.6.2-wg3-params-slim.json`与`fair-1.6.2-wg3-params-common.json`,其中前者仅保留集合成员间存在差异的参数,后者则包含其余全部参数。该数据集专为第三工作组气候评估运行场景进行了优化。其样本源自初始规模为100万的先验集合,且对结果施加了如下约束:需在观测不确定性范围内重现1850-2019年的观测升温过程;需在观测不确定性范围内重现1971-2018年的观测海洋热含量变化;需复现基于碳循环的近当前大气CO₂浓度;CO₂大气留存份额的分布需与IPCC第一工作组AR6第五章的评估范围相符;平衡气候敏感度(Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity)的分布需与IPCC第一工作组AR6第七章的对应分布一致;瞬变气候响应(Transient Climate Response)的分布需与IPCC第一工作组AR6第七章的对应分布一致;在采用给定浓度场景运行时,未来预估升温的分布需与IPCC第一工作组AR6第四章的共享社会经济路径(Shared Socioeconomic Pathways,SSP)情景分布相符。<strong>更新日志</strong>v1.1:新增轻量级参数集文件。v1.0:首次上传的完整参数集版本。



