Expectations, Surprises and Treasury Bill Rates: 1960-82
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Changes in six-month bill rates over semiannual periods in the 1960s and 1970s are successfully related to expected changes and to surprises. The latter include unanticipated changes in expected inflation, in the growth of industrial production and base money, and in inflation uncertainty.
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美国国家经济研究局创建时间：
1984-01-01
