Data produced for "Crop switching reduces agricultural losses from climate change in the United States by half"

This data archive includes all of the results from the models used to
produce the paper "Crop switching reduces agricultural losses from
climate change in the United States by half". It contains three main
archives:

1. inputs: The temperature and water stress indicators for each crop,
   along with county-level log-yields. Both the Bayesian and OLS
   models are fit to this data. Static covariates are available in
   us-bioclims-new.csv.

   Files:

   data-inputs-futureedds1.zip - data-inputs-futureedds3.zip:
   GCM-specific quantifications of the exceedance degree days used as
   temperature predictors.

   data-inputs-other.zip: All other input files.

2. bayes: Each of the variables fit in the Bayesian model, for each
   MCMC draw from the posterior distribution. The contained directory
   includes for each crop versions with constant variance (-variance)
   and under cross-validation (-cv). The counties are ordered
   according to fips-usa.csv.

   Files:

   data-bayes-checks: Posterior predictive check outputs.

   data-bayes-full-constvar-*.zip: MCMC draws for the all-years fit
   assuming constant variance. Divided to make the files more
   manageable.

   data-bayes-full-varvar.zip: MCMC draws for the all-years fit
   assuming county-specific variances.

   data-bayes-cv-constvar.zip: MCMC draws for the cross-validation fit
   assuming constant variance.

   data-bayes-cv-varvar-*.zip: MCMC draws for the cross-validation fit
   assuming county-specific variances. Divided to make the files more
   manageable.

3. optim: Optimization model results. The results/ directory contains
   the optimization results for each set of assumptions presented in
   the appendix, applied to the average yield levels. The results-mc/
   directory contains profit, yield, and optimization results for each
   draw of the MCMC independently.

   Files:

   data-optim-inputs-mc.zip: Locally optimal cropping files, under
   MCMC draws of the model.

   data-optim-results-mc.zip: Constrainted optimization model results,
   under MCMC draws of the model.

   data-optim-results.zip: Constrained optimization model results,
   using the average parameters of the model.

   data-optim-other.zip: Other outputs of the optimization process.