This file contains data of midterm projections for the Covid-19 epidemic in Luxembourg obtained by a stochastic agent based epidemiological model specified in the document https://storage.fnr.lu/index
Real time estimate—RMSE and PCC for ARGO models including only historical data (AR(52)) and only Twitter data, for the period starting from January 2015 to March 2017.
We compare the mean prediction interval widths (MPIs) for nowcasts from the baseline model and model using Google searches. The heuristic model is omitted as this approach does not allow a prediction
