Demand for ports to 2050: Climate policy, growing trade and the impacts of sea level 2010-2050

These data provide decadal estimates of port areas required based on future predictions of trade to 2050 under four climate-related policy scenarios. Also included are projections of relative sea-level rise and cost estimates for (i) adaptation to the anticipated sea-level rise under each scenario, and (ii) construction of any new port area required. The resilience of shipping infrastructure and trade to future climate impacts has implications for shipping globally and locally. As a service to other sectors, it will need to adjust to new patterns of economic growth whilst, at the same time, dealing with its own climate challenges. Key among sector concerns is the provision of suitable port infrastructure capable of handling the transfer of sea-borne trade to land based transport systems.

本数据集提供了四种气候相关政策情景下，基于截至2050年的贸易未来预测所得到的所需港区规模的十年期估算值。此外，数据集还涵盖相对海平面上升的预测结果，以及两类成本估算：其一为各情景下针对预期海平面上升的适应成本，其二为新增所需港区的建设成本。航运基础设施与贸易对未来气候影响的韧性水平，对全球及区域航运业均具有深远影响。作为支撑其他产业的服务环节，航运业需适配全新的经济增长格局，同时应对自身面临的各类气候挑战。该领域的核心关切之一，便是搭建适配的港口基础设施，以实现海运贸易向陆路运输系统的高效转运衔接。