Replication data for: Civil Wars Kill and Maim People—Long After the Shooting Stops

Political scientists have conducted only limited systematic research on the consequences of war for civilian populations. Here we argue that the civilian suffering caused by civil war extends well beyond the period of active warfare. We examine these longer-term effects in a cross-national (1999) analysis of World Health Organization new fine-grained data on death and disability broken down by age, gender, and type of disease or condition. We test hypotheses about the impact of civil wars and find substantial long-term effects, even after controlling for several other factors. We estimate that the additional burden of death and disability incurred in 1999, from the indirect and lingering effects of civil wars in the years 1991–97, was approximately equal to that incurred directly and immediately from all wars in 1999. This impact works its way through specific diseases and conditions and disproportionately affects women and children.

政治学者针对战争对平民群体造成的影响所开展的系统性研究尚属有限。本文认为，内战给平民带来的苦难远超冲突活跃期本身。本研究依托世界卫生组织（World Health Organization）发布的全新细粒度死亡与伤残数据，按年龄、性别及疾病/病症类型进行分类，通过1999年跨国分析对上述长期影响展开考察。我们针对内战影响的相关假说开展检验，即便在控制多项其他变量的情况下，仍发现了显著的长期影响效应。经估算，1991至1997年内战所产生的间接、滞后效应，在1999年造成的额外死亡与伤残负担，大致等同于1999年所有战争直接即时引发的死亡与伤残负担总和。该影响会通过特定疾病与病症路径传导，且对妇女与儿童群体造成的冲击尤为显著。